Kagen = Vulnerable
Written by Daniel on June 6, 2007 – 7:44 pm - Welcome, if you're new here, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed or subscribe to our email newsletter. Thanks for visiting!
How do we know?
0. NEW: Larry Sabato, the super-pundit from UVA, looking into his crystal ball, ranks Kagen one of the vulnerable freshman fifteen, and rates the seat a toss-up. (HT: MJS)
1. Robert Novak tells us so in today’s Evans-Novak Political Report - “Two endangered Democrats — Representatives Nick Lampson (D-Tex.) and Steve Kagen (D-Wis.) — have called for Jefferson to resign from the House, even though he has not been convicted of any crime.”
2. The American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees is up with TV ads in the districts of nine vulnerable Democratic freshman. The buy, for $500,000 between the nine, is a 30-second spot praising Kagen’s votes in favor of a higher minimum wage.
Look at the nine: Brad Ellsworth (D-IN); Joe Donnelly (D-IN); Steve Kagen (D-WI); Nancy Boyda (D-KS); Heath Shuler (D-NC); Chris Carney (D-PA); Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY); Tim Walz (D-MN); Tim Mahoney (D-FL).
All freshman Democrats, all very vulnerable.
Last 5 posts by Daniel- Why Van's the Man - January 5th, 2009
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Posted in Johnson/Barca Redux |
June 6th, 2007 at 8:56 pm
Kagen may be vulnerable. Defeating the Dr. will require something he has not yet had - a credible challenger.
With Green potentially becoming an ambassador, it means Kagen has a very good chance of seeing a second term.
June 7th, 2007 at 8:09 pm
I’d be interested in seeing who decides to run for the 8th District… John Gard still has credibility issues in the southern part of the 8th and divisions among Republicans, its too soon for him.
June 8th, 2007 at 6:32 am
It was a bitter election, at least in Outagamie. My former rep in the State Assembly ran a campaign that was destined to cause divisions. The “Honesty Tour” and that implies her opponent was not honest.
Also, there were hard feelings about
June 8th, 2007 at 6:35 am
The party leadership essentially putting their support behind John Gard so soon. That was unfortunate, but not the big deal it should have been.
My former assembly rep also has a tendency not to just step on toes but to jump up and down on them. Her & Owen from Boots and Sabers had a dust up and from my view of events (I did get feedback from both in this) was completely unnecessary in that my former assembly rep took offense and reacted very strongly where no offense was given.
June 8th, 2007 at 8:07 am
Mu Phi’s right. My gut told me Kagen was going to win by the time you were hearing Bader callers from the Fox Valley tell them “I’m a Republican and if Gard wins, I’m not voting in November.”
Terri made it too personal and as a result, only the Klown Kagen won.
June 8th, 2007 at 10:59 am
I doubt Kagen is in the level of danger you’d hope.
The GOP is lower in the polls, than last November. This is not going to change with the same GOP rant baout elections being local.
The issues are not local.
We do not elect local issues to federal offices.
Kagen is doing well, in the committees he sits; he has voted with the majority of what the 8th’s voters decided last November.
There is no GOP candidate who can run, that isn’t already tainted by Bush and the party that now has, according to the latest AP/IPSOS/ABC?CBS/NYtimes has only about 12 Million real loyalist voters.
Instead of supporting the failed platform of the GOP…why not address that issue and get a realistic platform from your party?
The Karl Rovian plan is not going to work. It wasn’t taht successful anyway with a 2-3% win factor.
June 8th, 2007 at 11:16 am
Right, Kagen’s not vulnerable.
I’m sorry, who’s getting Union TV time currently in GB again?